On 6 Mar, Liz Specht, Ph.D., Post a thread on Twitter That immediately went viral. In this article, it has received over 100,000 likes and almost 41,000 retweets, and is republished at Stat News. It aims to “talk maths” and reflect the perspective of “Noble diseases.” It confirms it is “Not a hypothesis, fear-mongering, worst case scenario,“And that, while the predictions it might be wrong, they won’t be”Orders of magnitude wrong.” It also harms inaccurate.
The crux of Dr. Specht’s 35-tweet thread is the fast double of the COVID-19 case that will lead to approximately 1 million instances of 5 months 5, 4 million by 11 months of 5, and so on. In this case, with a 10% hospitalization rate, we expect approximately 400,000 admission of the Mid-May, which will more than overwhelm the estimated 330,000 hospital beds available throughout the country. This combined with the lack of protective equipment for health care workers and lead to them “falling from force of the week at a time,” to salty deficiency and so forth. Half the world will be infected in the summer, and we have been advised to buy dried goods and to prepare not to leave house
Interestingly, this thread is erroneous not because we managed to bend the curve and stave off the Apocalypse; For beginners, Dr. Specht describes Remove major events and close the workplace As something will change everything by…